How betting odds work: what they are and how to use them
In probability theory and statistics, odds and similar ratios may be more natural or more convenient than probabilities. Odds can also be expressed as a number, by dividing the terms in the ratio—in this case it is unique (different fractions can represent the same rational number). For example, «odds of a weekend are 2 to 5», while «chances of a weekend are 2 in 7». Implied by this definition is the fact that the probability of an event is given by the ratio of favourable outcomes to the total number of possible outcomes. If k is any positive number then X to Y is the same as kX to kY, and similarly if «to» is replaced with «in» or «for». Multiplying these probabilities by 100% gives the percentage.
Major sportsbooks now operate nationwide, often adjusting their lines independently or using odds from other sources, not just Las Vegas. For decades, Vegas was seen as the gold standard for odds-setting, with casinos along the Strip acting as trendsetters for the broader betting market. Sharp action – bets placed by professional or experienced bettors – also triggers line movement. When a large number of casual bettors, often called “public” bettors, place money on one side, the line may shift to reflect this surge in interest.
We cover the NHL, the SHL in Sweden and the KHL among many hockey leagues, with prices on single games and on the outright winners. Basketball goes from NBA odds and the EuroLeague to domestic leagues such as the Super Lig in Turkey and the LNB in France, with prices on single games and on the outright winners. Before a bet, check the archived results and historical odds of the teams or players involved, across leagues and tournaments worldwide. The value bets page compares the odds of each bookmaker with the average odds for the same outcome, highlighting the markets where one price stands out, with the probability included. OddsPortal has a number of betting tools that can bring your attention to interesting markets you may never have thought about betting on before, always with the best available price.
When probability is expressed as a number between 0 and 1, the relationships between probability p and new bookmakers not on gamstop odds are as follows. When Moneyline odds are quoted as a positive number +X, it means that a wager pays X to 100. However in many situations, the possible loss («stake» or «wager») is paid up front and, if the gambler wins, the net win plus the stake is returned. From local leagues to international tournaments, our website shows the top price for every outcome before you bet.
In most cases, the favorite will have negative moneyline odds (less payoff for a safer bet) and the underdog will have positive moneyline odds (more payoff for a risky bet). A «moneyline» wager refers to odds on the straight-up outcome of a game with no consideration to a point spread. For example, 6/5 fractional odds (also described as «1.2» or «6 to 5») are the same as 11/5 decimal odds (also described as 2.2 or «11 for 5). A variation of fractional odds is known as Hong Kong odds. However, not all fractional odds are traditionally read using the lowest common denominator (i.e. simplifying the fraction when possible). In either case, having won, the bettor always receives the original stake back too; so if the odds are 4/1 the bettor receives a total of £500 (£400 plus the original £100).
A study on soccer betting found that the probability for the home team to win was generally about 3.4% less than the value calculated from the odds (for example, 46.6% for even odds). The total of these three percentages is 100%, thus representing a fair ‘book’. In a 3-horse race, for example, the true probabilities of each of the horses winning based on their relative abilities may be 50%, 40% and 10%. In formulating the odds to display the bookmaker will have included a profit margin which effectively means that the payout to a successful bettor is less than that represented by the true chance of the event occurring. In gambling, the odds on display do not represent the true chances (as imagined by the bookmaker) that the event will or will not occur, but are the amount that the bookmaker will pay out on a winning bet, together with the required stake.
This code is for marketing and tracking purposes only. He is an NCTJ-qualified sports journalist who has accumulated over 10 years of experience in the sports betting industry. Make your first deposit of £10+, then place a £10 single bet from main balance at odds of EVS+ (2.00+) on any sports market (excluding Virtuals). As a result, the term has more historical than literal accuracy in today’s global betting market.
Favoured by bookmakers in the United Kingdom and Ireland, and also common in horse racing, fractional odds quote the net profit that will be paid out to the bettor, should they win, relative to the stake. That value may be regarded as the relative probability the event will happen, expressed as a fraction (if it is less than 1), or a multiple (if it is equal to or greater than one) of the likelihood that the event will not happen. The odds are a ratio of probabilities; an odds ratio is a ratio of odds, that is, a ratio of ratios of probabilities.
Since these bets can be made months in advance, they offer a chance for big payouts, especially when backing underdogs. Instead of betting on a single game, you’re predicting outcomes like who will win the NBA championship, MVP award, or a division title. Bettors predict whether the total points scored will be above or below a set number. For example, if a team is -5.5, they need to win by 6 or more points to win the bet.